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 Post subject: NFL 2011/12, Predictions?
PostPosted: Wed Aug 31, 2011 6:38 pm 
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Using any method you choose (crystal ball, tarot cards, Jobu, Bill James-like stastical analysis), does anybody care to make predictions about the upcoming 2011/12 NFL Season?

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 Post subject: Re: NFL 2011/12, Predictions?
PostPosted: Thu Sep 01, 2011 10:28 am 
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Location: Economy, PA
The Jets are going to be very good again, Philly not so good.


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 Post subject: Re: NFL 2011/12, Predictions?
PostPosted: Thu Sep 01, 2011 10:43 am 
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I'm always wrong so why not make a public record of it (in order of finish)-

East - Jets, Pats*, Dolphins, Bills
North - Steelers, Ravens*, Browns, Bengals
South - Texans, Colts, Titans, Jagoffs
West - Chargers, Chiefs, Raiders, Broncos
* - wildcard
AFC Championship - Steelers vs. Jets - Steelers

East - Cowboys, Eagles*, Giants, Redskins
North - Packers, Lions, Vikings, Bears
South - Falcons, Saints*, Bucs, Panthers
West - Rams, Cardinals, 49ers, Seahawks

NFC Championship - Falcons vs. Eagles - Falcons

Super Bowl Champ - Steelers (how can I pick against my heart :D )

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 Post subject: Re: NFL 2011/12, Predictions?
PostPosted: Thu Sep 08, 2011 1:29 pm 
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Really no one else wants to take a stab at bragging rights/sure embarassment?

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Well NH did get Cutch signed, but what have you done for me lately?


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 Post subject: Re: NFL 2011/12, Predictions?
PostPosted: Fri Sep 09, 2011 1:12 am 
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FULL DISCLOSURE: I made these picks weeks ago, before the Manning/Cassel injuries and I saw any preseason games. Looking at things now, the South will probably go more like: Texans(10-6)-Colts (9-7)-Titans (7-9), depending on Manning's injury length. Also, I'd swap the Chargers and Chiefs, Bills and Dolphins, Giants and Cowboys and Seahawks and Cards.

Quote:
Team, predicted record
Why they can win it all
Why they won’t
Schedule ‘Pitfalls’, ‘make or break’ stretches:

AFC EAST
PATRIOTS (13-3)
WHY? Brady-Belichick. Scrappy D, Hi-Octane O. Proven winners.
WHY NOT? High exposure/targets. Teams save their best for them.
PITFALLS?: Weeks 8-15; @ PIT, NYG, @ NYJ, KC, @PHI, IND

JETS (11-5)
WHY? Hungry. Fearless. Tenacious.
WHY NOT? Offensive lapses due to young QB and old RB.
PITFALLS?: Weeks 3-5; @OAK, @ BAL, @ NE

BILLS (6-10)
WHY? Why Indeed?
WHY NOT? Bad D, worse O.
PITFALLS?: NONE

DOLPHINS (5-11)
WHY? Why Indeed?
WHY NOT? Who’s under center? Would it matter?
PITFALLS?: Weeks 1-6; NE, HOU, @ CLE, @ SD, BYE, @ NYJ

AFC NORTH
STEELERS (11-5)
WHY? Veteran, tough-nosed squad (D) with top-10 QB.
WHY NOT? Aging defense prone to lapses, specifically in the secondary. Atrocious O-Line.
PITFALLS?: Weeks 1-4; @ BAL, SEA, @ IND, @ HOU… late BYE (11)

RAVENS (11-5)
WHY? D keeps games close, O has enough juice
WHY NOT? Aging defense, poor secondary, can’t beat the Colts or Steelers in the postseason.
PITFALLS?: NONE

BROWNS (6-10)
WHY? Why Indeed?
WHY NOT? Too young, too many holes.
PITFALLS?: Weeks 13-17; BAL, @ PIT, AZ, @ BAL, PIT

BENGALS (3-13)
WHY? Why Indeed?
WHY NOT? Too many reasons to list.
PITFALLS?: NONE

AFC SOUTH
COLTS (12-4)
WHY? Peyton Manning.
WHY NOT? Manning can’t play D.
PITFALLS?: Weeks 3-9, PIT; @ TB, KC, @ CIN, @ NO, @ TEN, ATL… Late BYE (11)

TEXANS (9-7)
WHY? Hi-Octane O. ‘Chip on shoulder’.
WHY NOT? Gary Kubiak. Porous D.
PITFALLS?: Weeks 1-4; IND @ MIA, @ NO, PIT… Late BYE (11)

TITANS (5-11)
WHY? Veteran QB, CJ, solid D.
WHY NOT? Lack deep threat. New coach.
PITFALLS?: Weeks 5-8, 11-15; @ PIT, BYE, HOU, IND… @ ATL, TB, @ BUF, NO, @ IND

JAGUARS (4-12)
WHY? Why Indeed?
WHY NOT? Terrible D. Suspect O.
PITFALLS?: Weeks 6-10, 13-15; @ PIT, BAL, @ HOU, BYE, @ IND… SD, TB, @ ATL

AFC WEST
CHIEFS (10-6)
WHY? Solid D, improving O.
WHY NOT? Unproven. Struggles vs. quality teams.
PITFALLS?: Weeks 11-15; @ NE, PIT, @ CHI, @ NYJ, GB

CHARGERS (10-6)
WHY? Well-balanced team with top-10 QB.
WHY NOT? Norv Turner. Takeo Spikes. Slow starters. Playoff no-shows.
PITFALLS?: Weeks 7-9; @ NYJ, @ KC, GB

RAIDERS (7-9)
WHY? Showed flashes of moxie. ‘Chip on their shoulder’.
WHY NOT? Jason Campbell is their QB. Asomugha has left the building.
PITFALLS?: NONE

BRONCOS (4-12)
WHY? God loves Tim Tebow.
WHY NOT? Tim Tebow is not God.
PITFALLS?: Weeks 9-15; @ OAK, @ KC, NYJ, @ SD, @ MIN, CHI, NE

NFC EAST
EAGLES (11-5)
WHY? Mike Vick and a ton of big play threats. Solid D.
WHY NOT? Tough division, Vick lapses.
PITFALLS?: Weeks 11-16; @ NYG, NE, @ SEA, @ MIA, NYJ, @ DAL

GIANTS (10-6)
WHY? Champion corps still intact.
WHY NOT? Second half swoons, secondary issues.
PITFALLS?: Weeks 9-14; @ NE, @ SF, PHI, @ NO, GB, @ DAL

COWBOYS (8-8)
WHY? Hi-Octane O. No more Wade.
WHY NOT? Woeful D. Romo a winner?
PITFALLS?: Weeks 14-17; NYG, @ TB, PHI, @ NYG

REDSKINS (5-11)
WHY? Stout D.
WHY NOT? Who’s under center? Who’s getting into the endzone?
PITFALLS?: Weeks 11-15; DAL, @ SEA, NYJ, NE, @ NYG

NFC NORTH
PACKERS (13-3)
WHY? A championship team recovering from injuries.
WHY NOT? Tough to tell…
PITFALLS?: NONE

BEARS (9-7)
WHY? D still good, O need only improve
WHY NOT? Tough division, D getting older.
PITFALLS?: Weeks 1-3; ATL, @ NO, GB

LIONS (8-8)
WHY? A fully healthy squad could catch teams off guard. O threats and scary as hell run D.
WHY NOT? Terrible secondary, injury concerns.
PITFALLS?: Weeks 12-17; GB, @ NO, MIN, @ OAK, SD, @ GB

VIKINGS (6-10)
WHY? AP, a great OL, still solid D.
WHY NOT? McNabb?!? D getting old?
PITFALLS?: Weeks 1-4; @ SD, TB, DET, @ KC

NFC SOUTH
FALCONS (12-4)
WHY? Young and improving squad who added a deep threat. Terrific at home.
WHY NOT? Unproven in the playoffs. Tough division.
PITFALLS?: Weeks 1-5; @ CHI, PHI, @ TB, @ SEA, GB

SAINTS (11-5)
WHY? Already amazing offense… now with Mike Ingram.
WHY NOT? Abysmal secondary.
PITFALLS?: Weeks 6-10; @ TB, IND, @ STL, TB, @ ATL

BUCCANEERS (9-7)
WHY? Young and improving squad with ‘chip on their shoulder’.
WHY NOT? Unproven. Lacking ‘go to’ threat.
PITFALLS?: Weeks 3-7; ATL, IND, @ SF, NO, CHI

PANTHERS (2-14)
WHY? Why Indeed?
WHY NOT? Too many reasons to list.
PITFALLS?: Weeks 11-17; @ DET, @ IND, @ TB, ATL, @ HOU, TB, @ NO

NFC WEST
49ERS (9-7)
WHY? In easy division, have offensive threats, better than previous record indicated.
WHY NOT? Terribly inconsistent, Alex Smith, mistake prone.
PITFALLS?: Weeks 12-17; @ BAL, STL, @ AZ, PIT, @ SEA, @ STL

RAMS (7-9)
WHY? An improved D and a threat for Bradford can only make them better.
WHY NOT? Uncertain if they solved such problems. One year away from contention.
PITFALLS?: Weeks 1-3, 6-10; PHI, @ NYG, BAL… @ GB, @ DAL, NO, @ AZ, @ CLE

SEAHAWKS (5-11)
WHY? Best HFA in the league.
WHY NOT? Can’t win on road, terrible D, worse QB’s.
PITFALLS?: Weeks 1-5; @ SF, @ PIT, AZ, ATL, @ NYG

CARDINALS (4-12)
WHY? Kevin Kolb has to be better than DA/Max Hall.
WHY NOT? The D is still terrible, so is running game.
PITFALLS?: Weeks 7-12; PIT, @ BAL, STL, @ PHI, @ SF, @ STL


I can see the Playoffs and Super Bowl breaking many different ways, but I like making 'bold' picks, based upon teams who are 'due' or who have been 'building momentum'.

In that vein, I'll predict:

SB: Jets over Falcons

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