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 Post subject: The Gauntlet, Part II
PostPosted: Fri May 24, 2013 10:58 am 
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While the Pirates enter Friday, May 24, 2013 with 29 wins and 18 losses, the third best record in all of baseball, I believe we can all agree that the team has been leaning on its bullpen and starting pitching a bit too much. You can't win a pennant with dormant bats. The next thirteen contests will tell us a lot about the Pirates' ability to hit and maintain their current level of success.

Here it comes:

Fri, May 24 @ Milwaukee 8:10 PM Burnett (3-4) v. Estrada (3-2)
Sat, May 25 @ Milwaukee 4:10 PM Locke (4-1) v. Fiers (1-2)
Sun, May 26 @ Milwaukee 2:10 PM Rodriguez (5-2) v. Gallardo (3-4)
Mon, May 27 @ Detroit 1:08 PM Liriano (3-0) v. Verlander (5-4)
Tue, May 28 @ Detroit 7:08 PM Gomez (2-0) v. Porcello (2-2)
Wed, May 29 vs Detroit 7:05 PM Burnett (3-4) v. Sanchez (4-4)
Thu, May 30 vs Detroit 7:05 PM Locke (4-1) v. Fister (5-1)
Fri, May 31 vs Cincinnati 7:05 PM
Sat, Jun 1 vs Cincinnati 7:15 PM
Sun, Jun 2 vs Cincinnati 1:35 PM
Mon, Jun 3 @ Atlanta 7:10 PM
Tue, Jun 4 @ Atlanta 7:10 PM
Wed, Jun 5 @ Atlanta 12:10 PM

That is The Gauntlet, Part II, folks, and a murderer's row of pitching. The Pirates will face Gallardo, Verlander, Porcello, and Sanchez in order. Sh*t. The worst team on that schedule is the Brewers, and we know how hard it is for the Pirates to beat them in Milwaukee. It's distinctly possible that the Pirates suffer a 3-10 stretch and we wake up on Thursday, June 6 looking at a 32-28 team. If the PBC stays within 4 or 5 games of first place in the ultra-competitive NL Central after this stretch, I'll consider it a huge victory for the team.


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 Post subject: Re: The Gauntlet, Part II
PostPosted: Fri May 24, 2013 11:04 am 
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Love it. Breaking out the "big karma" bats.

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 Post subject: Re: The Gauntlet, Part II
PostPosted: Fri May 24, 2013 11:29 am 
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Nice. We better get a couple wins the next two nights.


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 Post subject: Re: The Gauntlet, Part II
PostPosted: Fri May 24, 2013 11:35 am 
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Ralphie wrote:
Nice. We better get a couple wins the next two nights.


Tonight is huge (for my psyche). I realize the Buccos won their last game in Milwaukee but this one seems so critical. With Burnett on the mound this has the feel of a "must win". A win and they could bury the Brewers. A loss and it's "here we go again".

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 Post subject: Re: The Gauntlet, Part II
PostPosted: Fri May 24, 2013 12:42 pm 
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How is Detroit only seven games over (2 1/2 games worse than the Buccos) and in second place with that pitching staff???

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 Post subject: Re: The Gauntlet, Part II
PostPosted: Fri May 24, 2013 12:45 pm 
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We start with taking 2 out of 3 from the Brewers.

Mark my words. 8-)


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 Post subject: Re: The Gauntlet, Part II
PostPosted: Fri May 24, 2013 12:47 pm 
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NSMaster56 wrote:
How is Detroit only seven games over (2 1/2 games worse than the Buccos) and in second place with that pitching staff???


Verlander is off to a pretty poor start (by his standards).


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 Post subject: Re: The Gauntlet, Part II
PostPosted: Fri May 24, 2013 12:52 pm 
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NSMaster56 wrote:
How is Detroit only seven games over (2 1/2 games worse than the Buccos) and in second place with that pitching staff???


Wondered the same exact thing, and then noticed that they were second in MLB in run differential, one run behind St. Louis. So it will likely correct itself.

Howeva, St. Louis ain't so tough, and it seems like the Bucs play the Tigers well, so take all four Bucs!

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 Post subject: Re: The Gauntlet, Part II
PostPosted: Fri May 24, 2013 12:55 pm 
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TheShark wrote:
NSMaster56 wrote:
How is Detroit only seven games over (2 1/2 games worse than the Buccos) and in second place with that pitching staff???


Verlander is off to a pretty poor start (by his standards).


:D

Surely he will find his groove when he faces the Bucs.

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 Post subject: Re: The Gauntlet, Part II
PostPosted: Mon May 27, 2013 12:55 pm 
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Three games into The Gauntlet, Part II, and the Pirates are once again exceeding expectations. Your Buccos took two of three from the Brewers in Miller Park and now ready themselves for a showdown with World Series participants (and potentially World Series favorites) the Detroit Tigers. These next four games may tell us how far the PBC has come...

Fri, May 24 @ Milwaukee 8:10 PM L 2-1
Sat, May 25 @ Milwaukee 4:10 PM W 5-2
Sun, May 26 @ Milwaukee 2:10 PM W 5-4
Mon, May 27 @ Detroit 1:08 PM Liriano (3-0) v. Verlander (5-4)
Tue, May 28 @ Detroit 7:08 PM Gomez (2-0) v. Porcello (2-2)
Wed, May 29 vs Detroit 7:05 PM Burnett (3-4) v. Sanchez (4-4)
Thu, May 30 vs Detroit 7:05 PM Locke (4-1) v. Fister (5-1)
Fri, May 31 vs Cincinnati 7:05 PM Rodriguez (6-2) v. Cueto (2-0)
Sat, Jun 1 vs Cincinnati 7:15 PM Liriano (3-0) v. Leake (4-2)
Sun, Jun 2 vs Cincinnati 1:35 PM Gomez (2-0) v. Latos (4-0)
Mon, Jun 3 @ Atlanta 7:10 PM
Tue, Jun 4 @ Atlanta 7:10 PM
Wed, Jun 5 @ Atlanta 12:10 PM

Given the good start, I'll revise my 3-10 prediction to 6-7, which would put the Pirates at 35-25 on Thursday, June 6. Let's hope for even better than that.


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 Post subject: Re: The Gauntlet, Part II
PostPosted: Fri May 31, 2013 12:54 pm 
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We are now seven games into The Gauntlet, Part II, more than half way through, and the Pirates are blowing away all reasonable projections. The PBC has now taken three of four from the 2012 AL champs, the Detroit Tigers. Who comes to town this weekend? The Cincinnati Reds. Hold on to your hats, folks.

Fri, May 24 @ Milwaukee 8:10 PM L 2-1
Sat, May 25 @ Milwaukee 4:10 PM W 5-2
Sun, May 26 @ Milwaukee 2:10 PM W 5-4
Mon, May 27 @ Detroit 1:08 PM L 6-5
Tue, May 28 @ Detroit 7:08 PM W 1-0
Wed, May 29 vs Detroit 7:05 PM W 5-3
Thu, May 30 vs Detroit 7:05 PM W 1-0
Fri, May 31 vs Cincinnati 7:05 PM Rodriguez (6-2) v. Cueto (2-0)
Sat, Jun 1 vs Cincinnati 7:15 PM Liriano (3-1) v. Leake (4-2)
Sun, Jun 2 vs Cincinnati 1:35 PM Gomez (2-0) v. Latos (5-0)
Mon, Jun 3 @ Atlanta 7:10 PM Burnett (3-5) v. Medlen (1-6)
Tue, Jun 4 @ Atlanta 7:10 PM Locke (5-1) v. Minor (7-2)
Wed, Jun 5 @ Atlanta 12:10 PM Rodriguez (6-2) v. Teheran (3-1)

Given this start, I will once again my prediction from 6-7 to 8-5, which would put the Pirates at 37-23 on Thursday, June 6. Let's keep hoping for even better than that.


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 Post subject: Re: The Gauntlet, Part II
PostPosted: Fri May 31, 2013 12:59 pm 
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J_C_Steel wrote:
Given this start, I will once again my prediction from 6-7 to 8-5, which would put the Pirates at 37-23 on Thursday, June 6. Let's keep hoping for even better than that.

Unpossible.

Regression will supernova on Jeff Locke and Jeanmar Gomez on consecutive nights, and out of the black hole created by their pWAR normalization will climb the ghost of Shane Youman.


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 Post subject: Re: The Gauntlet, Part II
PostPosted: Fri May 31, 2013 1:02 pm 
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If there's one thing I can't stand it's pWAR normalization.


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 Post subject: Re: The Gauntlet, Part II
PostPosted: Fri May 31, 2013 1:23 pm 
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Just once I would like to miss the Cueto/Latos 1-2 in a series. It seems like this is never the case. I'd gladly take a shot at redeeming themselves against Homer Bailey. An extremely tough team when Cueto or Latos are on, especially with Shin Soo Choo morphing from an "adequate leadoff-man" acquisition to one of the top three hitters in the league playing at Great American Smallpark.


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 Post subject: Re: The Gauntlet, Part II
PostPosted: Fri May 31, 2013 2:09 pm 
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i know shark....we always get cueto/latos, and i know people use the words "always" and "never" loosely at times, but we ALWAYS get cueto and latos, just like it seems we never get a break from gallardo from milwaukee or verlander when we see detroit. This year we have found ways to battle pitchers with longer at bats and at least get the pitch count high so that we can get to the bullpens, but man oh man, i would love to leave the aces on the bench for an entire series sometimes.


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 Post subject: Re: The Gauntlet, Part II
PostPosted: Fri May 31, 2013 2:11 pm 
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batterup wrote:
i know shark....we always get cueto/latos, and i know people use the words "always" and "never" loosely at times, but we ALWAYS get cueto and latos, just like it seems we never get a break from gallardo from milwaukee or verlander when we see detroit. This year we have found ways to battle pitchers with longer at bats and at least get the pitch count high so that we can get to the bullpens, but man oh man, i would love to leave the aces on the bench for an entire series sometimes.



Also caught King Felix on a two-game series!

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 Post subject: Re: The Gauntlet, Part II
PostPosted: Fri May 31, 2013 7:48 pm 
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J_C_Steel wrote:
Sun, Jun 2 vs Cincinnati 1:35 PM Gomez (2-0) v. Latos (5-0)


That just doesn't seem fair.

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 Post subject: Re: The Gauntlet, Part II
PostPosted: Mon Jun 03, 2013 11:01 am 
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NSMaster56 wrote:
J_C_Steel wrote:
Sun, Jun 2 vs Cincinnati 1:35 PM Gomez (2-0) v. Latos (5-0)


That just doesn't seem fair.


And, like clockwork, it's the game the Pirates win. Of course.


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 Post subject: Re: The Gauntlet, Part II
PostPosted: Mon Jun 03, 2013 11:05 am 
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Well, the PBC has played ten games of The Gauntlet, Part II, and, despite dropping two of three to the Reds due to sleeping bat syndrome, the Bucs have still put up a solid 6-4 record. And now they travel to Atlanta for a three-game series against some solid pitchers and power bats. A.J. takes the bump tonight.

Fri, May 24 @ Milwaukee 8:10 PM L 2-1
Sat, May 25 @ Milwaukee 4:10 PM W 5-2
Sun, May 26 @ Milwaukee 2:10 PM W 5-4
Mon, May 27 @ Detroit 1:08 PM L 6-5
Tue, May 28 @ Detroit 7:08 PM W 1-0
Wed, May 29 vs Detroit 7:05 PM W 5-3
Thu, May 30 vs Detroit 7:05 PM W 1-0
Fri, May 31 vs Cincinnati 7:05 PM L 6-0
Sat, Jun 1 vs Cincinnati 7:15 PM L 2-0
Sun, Jun 2 vs Cincinnati 1:35 PM W 5-4
Mon, Jun 3 @ Atlanta 7:10 PM Burnett (3-5) v. Medlen (1-6)
Tue, Jun 4 @ Atlanta 7:10 PM Locke (5-1) v. Minor (7-2)
Wed, Jun 5 @ Atlanta 12:10 PM Rodriguez (6-2) v. Teheran (3-1)

For my (twice revised) 8-5 prediction to hold, the Pirates would have to take two of three from the Braves. That would put the team at 37-23 on Thursday, June 6. Let's do this.


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 Post subject: Re: The Gauntlet, Part II
PostPosted: Mon Jun 03, 2013 7:58 pm 
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J_C_Steel wrote:
NSMaster56 wrote:
J_C_Steel wrote:
Sun, Jun 2 vs Cincinnati 1:35 PM Gomez (2-0) v. Latos (5-0)


That just doesn't seem fair.


And, like clockwork, it's the game the Pirates win. Of course.


:lol:

Right?

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